Every second can change the state
A goal, break of serve, scoring run or red card can cause a large repricing. Even without a score, the remaining time changes the probability distribution.
The television picture, scoreboard and operator feed may have different delays. Never assume the screen in front of you is the fastest source.
Suspension protects settlement and integrity
Markets are commonly paused around important moments while the event state is confirmed. A displayed price during suspension may not be available.
Repeated suspension can also reflect feed uncertainty. It should not automatically be interpreted as evidence of manipulation.
Live models have blind spots
A model may know score and time but lack tactical, medical or officiating context. Player-level feeds can also be delayed or corrected.
Confidence should fall when the event state cannot be independently confirmed.
Use stricter personal safeguards
Fast decisions can encourage impulsive behavior. Pre-set a time and loss limit, disable repeated deposits and take breaks away from the live screen.
A live price is not a recovery tool. Stop rather than reacting emotionally to a previous loss.